February 8, 2023

Unitranche

Supportive Business Potential

U.S. inflation data in focus

Sterling and euro rally as U.S. inflation cools

The British pound and the euro both hit six-month highs against the greenback after figures showed U.S. inflation slowed to 0.1% in November.

The euro was up 1.2% to 1.0663 against the dollar and sterling was 1.3% higher to 1.2432 around an hour after the reading was published.

European markets shoot higher on U.S. inflation print

The pan-European Stoxx 600 index traded 1.7% higher after U.S. inflation for November came in lower than expected, extending earlier gains of around 0.7%.

Retail and technology stocks added 3.7%, as the financial services sector was 3.1% higher.

The CPI report comes the same day the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee begins its two-day meeting, and with the Bank of England, European Central Bank and Swiss National Bank due to make rate hike decisions Thursday.

Bank of England calls for “urgent international action” on non-bank financial institutions

The Bank of England on Tuesday called for “urgent international action” from regulators on non-bank financial institutions after it was forced to rescue U.K. pension funds in September.

A number of pension funds were hours from collapse when the central bank intervened in the long-dated bond market. It came after a series of massive moves in interest rates on U.K. government debt exposed vulnerabilities in liability-driven investment (LDI) funds, which are held by U.K. pension schemes.

The Bank emphasized the need for regulators across jurisdictions to strengthen the resilience of the sector, saying “there is a need for urgent international action to reduce risks in non-bank finance.”

Read more.

— Elliot Smith

Stocks on the move: Telefonica down 4%, Wacker Chemie up 4%

Shares of Spanish telecoms company Telefonica fell 4.6% in early trade to the bottom of the Stoxx 600, while at the top of the index, Germany’s Wacker Chemie added 4.4%.

UK unemployment rises to 3.7%, pay exceeds expectations

Britain’s unemployment rate rose to 3.7% in the three months to October, up from 3.6% in the three months to September, the Office for National Statistics said Tuesday.

Despite the apparent cooling the labor market, regular pay jumped by 6.1% in the period between August and October, above expectations but well below inflation, which came in at a 41-year-high of 11.1% in October.

“With the Bank of England already fearing the country is in a recession, labor market conditions remain tight with fewer foreign workers and increased hesitancy among people to take up new roles due to increased economic uncertainty, said Marcus Brookes, chief investment officer at Quilter Investors.

“With employment remaining lower than it was before the pandemic, the U.K. is badly lagging its peers in developed economies and may be in need of a policy boost to fix its labor market conundrum and get more people who are economically inactive back into work.”

– Elliot Smith

German inflation 10% in November, in line with expectations

The German consumer price index (CPI) rose by 10% year-on-year in November, shrinking by 0.5% from the previous month, in line with forecasts.

On an EU-harmonized basis, annual inflation was 11.3% while there was no monthly change.

– Elliot Smith

CNBC Pro: Apple vs. Microsoft? One outperforming fund manager picks his favorite

Both Apple and Microsoft‘s share prices have tanked this year — and if investors are looking to buy the dip, there’s a clear winner, according to one chief investment officer.

Richard-Mark Dodds told CNBC Pro the choice is clear: as one of them spends money on share buybacks, the other is making investments to further its business.

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Ganesh Rao

CNBC Pro: Goldman Sachs ups its price target on one athleisure stock, giving it over 30% upside

Goldman Sachs may have taken this popular sportwear retailer off its list of top stock picks, but the bank says the stock is still a buy.

Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Zavier Ong

CNBC Pro: ‘Global contenders’: BofA names stocks with earnings momentum that look cheap

BofA has identified a bunch of stocks it says are “inexpensive” but have strong earnings momentum and price momentum.

“Our back-testing and subsequent performance show that stocks with above-average earnings momentum tended to outperform, stocks with above-average price momentum tended to outperform, but stocks with both the characteristics tended to perform even better,” it wrote.

BofA said that these “global contenders” have outperformed the MSCI AC World Index by 6.9% year-to-date.

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Weizhen Tan

European markets: Here are the opening calls

European markets are heading for a positive open Tuesday as investors look ahead to the latest reading of U.S. inflation for November.

The U.K.’s FTSE index is expected to open 13 points higher at 7,460, Germany’s DAX 19 points higher at 14,336, France’s CAC up 15 points at 6,673 and Italy’s FTSE MIB up 100 points at 24,403, according to data from IG.

There are no major earnings. Data releases include the final reading of German inflation for November, U.K. unemployment figures for October and Germany’s ZEW survey of economic sentiment.

— Holly Ellyatt